Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 8

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Whites Hill Reserve (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Holland Park Hawks		Capalaba

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.35	3.75
	1.74	4.41	3.64
	1.86	4.36	3.23	Watch
	1.67	3.9	3.7
	1.59	4.3	4.16	Watch
	1.56	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.56)	4.25 ↑ (4.2)	3.83 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holland Park Hawks
54.6%

Draw
21.5%

Capalaba
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

21.6%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

22.4%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holland Park Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Capalaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holland Park Hawks than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holland Park Hawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Holland Park Hawks will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Capalaba will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', (Penalty Awarded),
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,
87', 🟥,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holland Park Hawks won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Holland Park Hawks is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Holland Park Hawks won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:13. (average 4.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Holland Park Hawks won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holland Park Hawks
Australian Queensland Premier League
12.04.26	North Star - Holland Park Hawks	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Holland Park Hawks - Ipswich FC	1:3 ✺
20.03.26	Redlands United - Holland Park Hawks	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	St. George Willawong - Holland Park Hawks	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Holland Park Hawks - Broadbeach United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL
- Capalaba FC
Australian Queensland Premier League
10.04.26	Capalaba - Redlands United	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	St. George Willawong - Capalaba	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Capalaba - Broadbeach United	2:5 ✺
14.03.26	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Capalaba	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Capalaba - Logan Lightning	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
02.08.25	Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba	2:3
29.04.25	Capalaba - Holland Park Hawks	3:4
Australian Brisbane Premier League
20.05.17	Capalaba - Holland Park Hawks	3:7
19.02.17	Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba	8:0
11.06.16	Capalaba - Holland Park Hawks	4:6
05.03.16	Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba	2:0

Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide