Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 9

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Capalaba		South West Queensland Thunder

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.9	2.95
	1.88	4.1	3.1
	1.93	4.3	3.18
	1.87	4.4	3.08	Watch
	1.87	4.05	3.17
	1.88	4.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.78)	4.14 ↑ (4.03)	3.1 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capalaba
48.4%

Draw
22.1%

South West Queensland Thunder
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

22.6%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capalaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

South West Queensland Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Capalaba - South West Queensland Thunder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

SWQ Thunder's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SWQ Thunder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Capalaba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Capalaba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capalaba FC
Australian Queensland Premier League
29.04.25	Capalaba - Holland Park Hawks	3:4 ✺
22.04.25	Broadbeach United - Capalaba	4:3 ✺
22.03.25	Ipswich FC - Capalaba	2:4 ✺
02.03.25	Capalaba - Rochedale Rovers	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Capalaba - Brisbane Strikers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLWWL
- South West Queensland Thunder
Australian Queensland Premier League
26.04.25	Caboolture Sports - South West Queensland Thunder	6:1 ✺
13.04.25	South West Queensland Thunder - Ipswich FC	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Logan Lightning - South West Queensland Thunder	4:2 ✺
22.03.25	Brisbane Strikers - South West Queensland Thunder	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	South West Queensland Thunder - Redlands United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
10.08.24	South West Queensland Thunder - Capalaba	2:1
12.05.24	Capalaba - South West Queensland Thunder	2:0

Capalaba - South West Queensland Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide