Match Info
Queensland Premier League - Round 19Date: 19 July 2026, SundayLocation: John Frederick Park (Redlands)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | FQTV |
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Capalaba |
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Holland Park Hawks |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.50 |
4.10 |
1.70 |
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 |
3.45 |
4.25 |
1.72 |
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 |
3.05 |
4.65 |
1.88 |
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 |
3.17 |
4.75 |
1.84 |
 Watch |
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2.95 |
4.55 |
1.86 |
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 |
3.73 |
4.49 |
1.73 |
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3.7 |
3.95 |
1.68 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↓
(3.7) |
4.39 ↑
(3.95) |
1.77 ↑
(1.68) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Capalaba
27.3% | Draw
20.9% | Holland Park Hawks
51.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Capalaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Holland Park Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holland Park Hawks than the current prediction. (+2.2%)Capalaba - Holland Park Hawks Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 70', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 76', 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Capalaba won 1.Capalaba has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Holland Park Hawks has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Holland Park Hawks is considered a favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Capalaba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:31. (average 2:4.4).Including home matches between the teams, Capalaba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 3.3:5.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Queensland Premier League | | | 17.04.26 | Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba | 2:1 | | 02.08.25 | Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba | 2:3 | | 29.04.25 | Capalaba - Holland Park Hawks | 3:4 | | Australian Brisbane Premier League | | | 20.05.17 | Capalaba - Holland Park Hawks | 3:7 | | 19.02.17 | Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba | 8:0 | | 11.06.16 | Capalaba - Holland Park Hawks | 4:6 | | 05.03.16 | Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba | 2:0 |
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