Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Premiership - Round 14

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 2


	Cape Town City		Richards Bay

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.8
	1.81	2.7	4.2
	1.81	3	4.92	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.8
	1.83	3.04	4.83	Watch
	1.81	2.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2)	2.89 ↓ (3)	4.63 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cape Town City
49.4%

Draw
31.1%

Richards Bay
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

31.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

30.8%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cape Town City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Richards Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Town City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richards Bay than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Cape Town City - Richards Bay Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cape Town City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Richards Bay will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Keet D. (G) 22. Fisher Norman P. 14. Fasika I. 25. Gordinho L. 11. Nyama T. 55. Amato G. 12. Mokotjo K. 26. Nodada T. 54. Ah Shene J. 9. Soukouna A. 21. Tjiueza P.	16. Magoola S. (G) 22. Mabuya L. 5. Allan K. 25. Mcineka S. 3. Ndaba N. 20. Mthembu M. 6. Mthethwa T. 17. Gumede T. 36. Zikhali L. 45. Ntsundwana S. 9. Mbuthuma Y.
Substitutes
17. Aphane L. 53. April S. 57. Bezuidenhout C. 58. Dondolo S. 47. Oliaro L. (G) 4. Petrus A. 23. Rhodes J. 33. Sereets H. 19. Ziba A. S.	27. Bomelo N. 38. Dlamini R. 23. Figuareido J. 11. Kutumela T. 72. Mabua T. 21. Mhlongo L. 7. Mohlamme T. 1. Otieno I. (G) 26. Radebe S.
Coaches
Ertugral M.	Gabriel R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Soukouna A. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Mbuthuma Y. ⚽, Gumede T. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Soukouna A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Amato G. ↓, April S. ↑,
55', Ntsundwana S. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Soukouna A. ⚽, Fisher Norman P. (A),
61', Mokotjo K. 🟨,
70', Zikhali L. ↓, Figuareido J. ↑,
72', Ah Shene J. ↓, Petrus A. ↑,
72', Soukouna A. ↓, Rhodes J. ↑,
75', Ntsundwana S. ↓, Bomelo N. ↑,
76', Figuareido J. 🟨,
78', Mthembu M. 🟨,
86', Fisher Norman P. ↓, Dondolo S. ↑,
89', Gumede T. ↓, Mohlamme T. ↑,
89', Mthembu M. ↓, Radebe S. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 14).

Recent matches Cape Town City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Richards Bay is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Richards Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cape Town City is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cape Town City won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Cape Town City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cape Town City
South African Premier Soccer League
11.01.25	Marumo Gallants - Cape Town City	1:0 ✺
08.01.25	Cape Town City - Orlando Pirates	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Cape Town City - Kaizer Chiefs	1:0 ✺
29.12.24	Cape Town City - AmaZulu	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Chippa United - Cape Town City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWLW
- Richards Bay FC
South African Premier Soccer League
04.01.25	Marumo Gallants - Richards Bay	0:0 ✺
28.12.24	Richards Bay - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Richards Bay	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Richards Bay - Supersport United	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Richards Bay - AmaZulu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

South African Knockout
02.11.24	Richards Bay - Cape Town City	1:0 penalties
South African Premier Soccer League
18.05.24	Cape Town City - Richards Bay	3:1
29.10.23	Richards Bay - Cape Town City	1:3
13.05.23	Cape Town City - Richards Bay	2:0
19.10.22	Richards Bay - Cape Town City	1:0

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