Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 8

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Zwelithini Stadium (Durban) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 4
Nigeria	18:30	SuperSport OTT 4
South Africa	19:30	SuperSport OTT 4


	Richards Bay		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	8.25	4.80	1.32
	10.5	5.35	1.21
	11.86	5.52	1.27
	10	5	1.27	Watch
	11	5.3	1.25
	8.29	6.08	1.28	Watch
	11	5.4	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.13 ↑ (7.5)	5.35 ↑ (4.1)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richards Bay
9.1%

Draw
17.3%

Mamelodi Sundowns
73.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.2%

22.3%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9%

21.8%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richards Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mamelodi Sundowns's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richards Bay than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mamelodi Sundowns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Richards Bay - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Otieno I. (G) 22. Mabuya L. 25. Mcineka S. (C) 49. Mkhabela N. 37. Gwele S. 77. Khumalo L. 24. Gumede S. 12. Gumbi S. 20. Mthembu M. 27. Xulu N. 19. Nzama S.	30. Williams R. (C) 22. Matuludi T. 42. Khoza M. 3. Ndamane K. 23. Basadien F. 4. Mokoena T. 11. Allende M. 38. Ndlovu S. 33. Mailula C. 17. Matthews T. 13. Rayners I.
Substitutes
14. Mahala L. 31. Mbambo O. 6. Mncube K. 3. Mntungwa S. 35. Ndelu T. 16. Ngcobo N. (G) 33. Ngema W. 26. Ngidi W. 5. Sikhakhane T.	19. Cele T. 31. Goss R. (G) 12. Leon B. 5. Lunga D. 27. Morena T. 40. Mvala M. 10. Santos N. 29. van Wyk A. 18. Zwane T.
Coaches
Gabriel R.	Cardoso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Matthews T. ⚽, Ndlovu S. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Mabuya L. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Rayners I. ⚽, Matthews T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 3, Rayners I. ⚽,
59', 1 - 4, Basadien F. ⚽, Mokoena T. (A),
64', Ndlovu S. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
64', Mokoena T. ↓, Cele T. ↑,
64', Matthews T. ↓, van Wyk A. ↑,
64', Mailula C. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
68', Xulu N. ↓, Mahala L. ↑,
68', Khumalo L. ↓, Ngidi W. ↑,
68', Nzama S. ↓, Ngema W. ↑,
79', Basadien F. 🟨,
80', Khoza M. ↓, Mvala M. ↑,
87', Mthembu M. ↓, Mbambo O. ↑,
87', Gwele S. ↓, Mntungwa S. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th and 1st in the Promotion - CAF Champions League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richards Bay won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Richards Bay (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Mamelodi Sundowns is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Richards Bay could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Mamelodi Sundowns as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Richards Bay has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:25 (averaging 0.3:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Richards Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 0:9 goals (averaging 0:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	9	7	2	0	23:8	15	23
15	Richards Bay	8	0	3	5	10:20	-10	3

Last Results with these Odds

Mamelodi Sundowns - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.44%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richards Bay FC
South African Premier Soccer League
19.09.26	Richards Bay - Sekhukhune United	2:3 ✺
13.09.26	Milford - Richards Bay	5:1 ✺
04.09.26	Richards Bay - AmaZulu	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Richards Bay - Kaizer Chiefs	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Durban City - Richards Bay	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLTT
- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African MTN 8 Cup
10.10.26	Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2 ✺
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
19.09.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
12.09.26	Chippa United - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Siwelele	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
26.04.26	Richards Bay - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0
27.09.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	4:1
South African MTN 8 Cup
03.08.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	4:0
South African Premier Soccer League
30.04.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	3:0
28.12.24	Richards Bay - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2
02.04.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	1:0
23.08.23	Richards Bay - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1

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