Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 7

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday


	Capivariano		Grêmio Prudente

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.24	3	3.1
	2.29	3.05	3.19
	2.28	3.05	3.12	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.24	3.13	3.16
	2.24	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.9)	3.03 ↓ (3.29)	3.14 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capivariano
40.7%

Draw
30.2%

Grêmio Prudente
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.8%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

26.1%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capivariano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Capivariano's performance.

Grêmio Prudente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio Prudente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capivariano than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Capivariano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Prudente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Capivariano - Grêmio Prudente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Vinicius ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Recent matches Capivariano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grêmio Prudente is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grêmio Prudente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capivariano FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.02.25	Votuporanguense - Capivariano	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Rio Claro - Capivariano	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Capivariano - Ferroviária	3:1 ✺
22.01.25	Capivariano - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Portuguesa Santista - Capivariano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTWTT
- Grêmio Prudente
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
02.02.25	Osasco Sporting - Grêmio Prudente	0:3 ✺
29.01.25	Grêmio Prudente - EC Primavera	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Piracicaba - Grêmio Prudente	1:0 ✺
22.01.25	Grêmio Prudente - São Bento	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Ituano - Grêmio Prudente	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLLL

Capivariano - Grêmio Prudente: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide