Match Info

Copa Paulista - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Paulo Constantino (Presidente Prudente)


	Grêmio Prudente		EC Primavera

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.1	3.31
	2.09	3.59	3.02	Watch
	2.07	3.08	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 (2.06)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.25 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Prudente
44.1%

Draw
27.9%

EC Primavera
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.7%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

28.3%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Prudente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

EC Primavera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Grêmio Prudente - EC Primavera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Joao Paulo (C) 97. Alan James 3. Alan Uchoa 5. Derick 11. Douglas 59. Gedeilson 19. Igor Pimenta 24. Igor Ribeiro 98. Jonatha Carlos 6. Mateus Muller 8. Pedro D.	1. Levy (G) 3. Afonso 7. Barreto 9. Brunao 2. Cleiton 11. Jean Silva 8. Junior Caicara 4. Luan Martins 10. Matheus Anjos 5. Nelsinho 6. Victor J.
Substitutes
14. Borech 7. Daniel 20. Deivid Santos 80. Favero 33. Gabriel Santos 10. Kauan 2. Marcos Moser 77. Matthew Ortega B. 12. Ricardo (G) 99. Wagner Marques	22. Ariel (G) 20. Augusto M. 13. Bruno Lima 18. Cesar 14. Dhouglas 19. Henan 16. Josiel 23. Kauan 21. Raphael Luz 15. Renatinho 12. Vinicius 17. Vitor Braga

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Alan James ⚽,
35', Igor Ribeiro 🟨,
43', Levy 🟥,
45+3', Matheus Anjos ↓, Ariel ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brunao ↓, Dhouglas ↑,
66', Jonatha Carlos 🟨,
73', Igor Ribeiro ↓, Kauan ↑,
73', Igor Pimenta ↓, Favero ↑,
73', Jonatha Carlos ↓, Borech ↑,
73', Jean Silva ↓, Bruno Lima ↑,
73', Victor J. ↓, Vitor Braga ↑,
73', Nelsinho ↓, Josiel ↑,
84', Pedro D. ↓, Wagner Marques ↑,
89', Douglas ↓, Gabriel Santos ↑,
90', Josiel 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Primavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Grêmio Prudente will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grêmio Prudente won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Including home match between the teams, Grêmio Prudente won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Prudente
Brazilian Copa Paulista
13.09.25	Grêmio Prudente - Francana	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Francana - Grêmio Prudente	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Grêmio Prudente - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	São Caetano - Grêmio Prudente	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Grêmio Prudente - Linense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWTW
- EC Primavera
Brazilian Copa Paulista
12.09.25	União São João - EC Primavera	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	EC Primavera - União São João	4:0 ✺
31.08.25	EC Primavera - Paulista	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paulista - EC Primavera	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	São Bento - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
29.01.25	Grêmio Prudente - EC Primavera	2:2

Grêmio Prudente - EC Primavera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide