Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 11Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday
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 |
|
 |
|
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Carabanchel |
|
Alcorcón B |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.06 |
3.06 |
3.64 |
|
 |
2.22 |
2.98 |
3.39 |
 Watch |
 |
2.13 |
3.32 |
3.37 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.87) |
3.09 ↓
(3.3) |
3.45 ↓
(3.78) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Carabanchel
43.5% | Draw
29.8% | Alcorcón B
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carabanchel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-3%)Carabanchel - Alcorcón B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Miguel Pacheco ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', 2 - 0, Miguel Pacheco ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 1, Diaz G. ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Diaz G. ⚽,
- 90+8', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. In this match, Carabanchel is a strong favorite.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Carabanchel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 | | | 30.03.25 | Carabanchel - Alcorcón B | 2:1 | | 16.11.24 | Alcorcón B - Carabanchel | 1:0 | | 27.03.22 | Carabanchel - Alcorcón B | 0:3 | | 28.11.21 | Alcorcón B - Carabanchel | 2:0 | | 21.03.21 | Alcorcón B - Carabanchel | 4:2 | | 20.12.20 | Carabanchel - Alcorcón B | 1:1 | | 02.02.20 | Carabanchel - Alcorcón B | 1:2 |
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