Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Carabanchel		Pozuelo de Alarcón

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.98	2.4
	25.00	6.14	1.12	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.45
	2.85	2.9	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.37 ↑ (2.82)	3.71 ↑ (2.89)	2.11 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabanchel
13.9%

Draw
31.3%

Pozuelo de Alarcón
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

31.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

30.5%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carabanchel's form might have worsened.

Pozuelo de Alarcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pozuelo de Alarcón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carabanchel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pozuelo de Alarcón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carabanchel - Pozuelo de Alarcón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Dominguez O. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Simal J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 1 - 2, ⚽,
52', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 2.

Carabanchel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Carabanchel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pozuelo de Alarcón is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Carabanchel won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Pozuelo de Alarcon	5	1	3	1	7:10	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
25.04.26	Leganés B - Carabanchel	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Carabanchel - Trival Valderas	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Torrejón - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Carabanchel - Parla	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Alcorcón B - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLTWT
- CF Pozuelo de Alarcón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.04.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Racing Madrid	4:1 ✺
01.04.26	Las Rozas - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Unión Adarve	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Villaverde San Andrés - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.01.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel	1:1
16.02.22	Carabanchel - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0
17.10.21	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel	0:1
25.04.21	Carabanchel - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:2
04.04.21	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel	2:4
20.01.19	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel	2:0
02.09.18	Carabanchel - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1

Carabanchel - Pozuelo de Alarcón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide