Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca B2 - Round 8

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Carapebus Campos		Barra Mansa

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.37
	2.7	2.8	2.44
	2.8	3.02	2.5	Watch
	2.69	3.08	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.15)	2.98 ↓ (3.24)	2.43 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carapebus Campos
33%

Draw
30.2%

Barra Mansa
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

28.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.7%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carapebus Campos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carapebus Campos's form might have worsened.

Barra Mansa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barra Mansa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carapebus Campos than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carapebus Campos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Mansa than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barra Mansa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carapebus Campos - Barra Mansa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 and 9).

Carapebus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Barra Mansa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carapebus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carapebus will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carapebus Campos
Brazilian Carioca B2
31.10.24	Campo Grande - Carapebus Campos	2:0 ✺
24.10.24	Carapebus Campos - Bonsucesso	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Uni Souza - Carapebus Campos	1:0 ✺
17.10.24	Carapebus Campos - Serra Macaense	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Niteroiense - Carapebus Campos	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLTW
- Barra Mansa FC
Brazilian Carioca B2
31.10.24	Barra Mansa - Mageense	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Barra Mansa - Campo Grande	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Bonsucesso - Barra Mansa	0:0 ✺
17.10.24	Barra Mansa - Uni Souza	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Serra Macaense - Barra Mansa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTLW

Carapebus Campos - Barra Mansa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide