Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 9

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday


	Carapebus Campos		Bonsucesso

	1	X	2
	3.95	2.78	2.02
	4.02	2.69	2.06
	3.69	2.71	2.23	Watch
	3.94	2.9	2.08
	4.1	3	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.2)	2.82 ↓ (3.04)	2.06 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carapebus Campos
23.2%

Draw
32.5%

Bonsucesso
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

29.7%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.9%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carapebus Campos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Bonsucesso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carapebus Campos than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonsucesso than the current prediction. (-1%)

Carapebus Campos - Bonsucesso Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Carapebus is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bonsucesso is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bonsucesso is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carapebus won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Carapebus won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carapebus Campos
Brazilian Carioca B1
01.11.25	Campo Grande - Carapebus Campos	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Artsul - Carapebus Campos	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Carapebus Campos - Serrano FC	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Petrópolis - Carapebus Campos	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Carapebus Campos - São Cristóvão	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTLL
- Bonsucesso FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
01.11.25	Bonsucesso - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Bonsucesso - Nova Cidade	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Niteroiense - Bonsucesso	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Bonsucesso - Paduano	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Bonsucesso - Duque de Caxias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B2
24.10.24	Carapebus Campos - Bonsucesso	0:2

Carapebus Campos - Bonsucesso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide