Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Caravaca		Unión Molinense

	1	X	2
	3.28	3.22	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.69)	3.22 ↑ (3.19)	2.06 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaca
27.7%

Draw
28.2%

Unión Molinense
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caravaca's form might have worsened.

Unión Molinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Molinense's recent form is better than expected.

Caravaca - Unión Molinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Feli ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Sabaris S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caravaca won 1.

Molinense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Caravaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Caravaca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Caravaca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
27.09.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - Caravaca	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Caravaca - Santomera	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Caravaca - Muleño	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Cieza - Caravaca	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Plus Ultra - Caravaca	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTWLT
- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.09.25	Unión Molinense - Cieza	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bala Azul - Unión Molinense	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Minera - Unión Molinense	3:0 ET ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
14.09.25	Unión Molinense - Olímpico de Totana	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Unión Molinense - Xerez CD	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.02.25	Unión Molinense - Caravaca	1:0
28.09.24	Caravaca - Unión Molinense	0:1
17.03.24	Unión Molinense - Caravaca	0:0
29.10.23	Caravaca - Unión Molinense	1:0
19.03.23	Unión Molinense - Caravaca	2:1
20.11.22	Caravaca - Unión Molinense	2:3

Caravaca - Unión Molinense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide