Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 25

Date: 31 January 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Caravaggio		Ponte San Pietro Isola

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Caravaggio
44.3%

Draw
28.4%

Ponte San Pietro Isola
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.8%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ponte San Pietro Isola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte San Pietro Isola than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caravaggio won 0.

Recent matches Caravaggio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponte San Pietro is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caravaggio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Caravaggio won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Caravaggio won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Caravaggio
Italian Serie D - Group B
28.01.24	Piacenza - Caravaggio	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Caravaggio - Legnano	0:0 ✺
17.01.24	Caldiero Terme - Caravaggio	3:0 ✺
14.01.24	Caravaggio - Club Milano	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Crema - Caravaggio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLWW
- Ponte San Pietro Isola
Italian Serie D - Group B
28.01.24	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Arconatese	0:4 ✺
21.01.24	Folgore Caratese - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:2 ✺
17.01.24	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Tritium	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Casatese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWLL

Italian Serie D - Group B
04.10.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Caravaggio	1:1
01.05.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Caravaggio	1:1
26.01.22	Caravaggio - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Caravaggio - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:2
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.02.21	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Caravaggio	2:0
27.09.20	Caravaggio - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:1
30.10.19	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Caravaggio	0:0

Caravaggio - Ponte San Pietro Isola