Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 23

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Folgore Caratese		Ponte San Pietro Isola

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.65	3.3	4.75
	1.57	3.5	4.4
	1.63	3.64	4.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.82)	3.46 ↑ (3.22)	4.57 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
54.7%

Draw
25.8%

Ponte San Pietro Isola
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28.3%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

26.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Ponte San Pietro Isola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folgore Caratese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte San Pietro Isola than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Folgore Caratese - Ponte San Pietro Isola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 2.

Recent matches Folgore Caratese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ponte San Pietro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Folgore Caratese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Folgore Caratese is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Folgore Caratese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.01.24	Piacenza - Folgore Caratese	2:2 ✺
13.01.24	Folgore Caratese - Legnano	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Caldiero Terme - Folgore Caratese	2:0 ✺
20.12.23	Club Milano - Folgore Caratese	4:3 ✺
16.12.23	Folgore Caratese - Crema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWLLT
- Ponte San Pietro Isola
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.01.24	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Tritium	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Casatese	0:2 ✺
20.12.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Real Calepina	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Villa Valle - Ponte San Pietro Isola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
24.09.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Folgore Caratese	1:1
30.04.23	Folgore Caratese - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:2
18.12.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Folgore Caratese	2:1
15.05.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Folgore Caratese	0:1
23.01.22	Folgore Caratese - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:0
09.02.20	Folgore Caratese - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:0
06.10.19	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Folgore Caratese	3:0

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