Match Info
Serie D - Group C - Play Out - FinalDate: 17 May 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Caravaggio |
|
Virtus CiseranoBergamo |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.23 |
3.45 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.24 |
3.49 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.28 |
3.51 |
2.75 |
 Watch |
 |
2.28 |
3.4 |
2.73 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3.14 |
2.42 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.97) |
3.4 ↑
(3.33) |
2.65 ↓
(3.47) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Caravaggio
40% | Draw
26.3% | Virtus CiseranoBergamo
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caravaggio's form might have worsened.Virtus CiseranoBergamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus CiseranoBergamo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caravaggio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus CiseranoBergamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Liberati F. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Ibe C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 73', Bernacchi D. 🟥,
- 74', 1 - 2, Ibe C. (Pen),
- 80', 1 - 3, Ibe C. ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 3, Scuderi D. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caravaggio won 0.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. Caravaggio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Caravaggio won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Caravaggio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group C | | | 09.02.25 | Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo | 1:1 | | 13.10.24 | Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caravaggio | 2:0 | | Italian Serie D - Group B | | | 20.03.24 | Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caravaggio | 1:0 | | 01.11.23 | Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo | 1:1 | | 10.04.22 | Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caravaggio | 4:1 | | 28.11.21 | Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo | 0:0 | | 30.05.21 | Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo | 3:1 |
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