Match Info
Serie D - Group B - Round 26Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday
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Virtus CiseranoBergamo |
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Real Calepina |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.3 |
3 |
2.88 |
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 |
2.37 |
3.01 |
2.85 |
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 |
2.36 |
3.07 |
2.9 |
 Watch |
 |
2.38 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
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 |
2.34 |
3.23 |
3.02 |
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2.32 |
3.1 |
2.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.27) |
3.04 ↓
(3.08) |
2.92 ↓
(2.96) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Virtus CiseranoBergamo
38.8% | Draw
30% | Real Calepina
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus CiseranoBergamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Real Calepina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Paderno M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 83', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CiseranoBergamo won 1.In recent matches, CiseranoBergamo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Real Calepina is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, CiseranoBergamo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, CiseranoBergamo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
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| 10 | Real Calepina | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group B | | | 26.10.25 | Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo | 1:1 | | Italian Serie D - Group C | | | 06.04.25 | Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina | 1:1 | | Italian Serie D - Group B | | | 28.01.24 | Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo | 1:2 | | 01.10.23 | Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina | 1:2 | | 19.03.23 | Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo | 0:0 | | 13.11.22 | Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina | 1:0 | | 03.04.22 | Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo | 1:2 |
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