Match Info

Date: 9 March 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Carbonia		Aprilia

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Carbonia
24.1%

Draw
26.7%

Aprilia
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.6%

26.4%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

21.3%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carbonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Aprilia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carbonia than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carbonia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aprilia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

The competitors look crappy now.

Aprilia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aprilia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carbonia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Carbonia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carbonia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
06.03.22	Carbonia - Lanusei	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Giugliano - Carbonia	2:0 ✺
20.02.22	Carbonia - Atletico Uri	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Insieme Formia - Carbonia	2:1 ✺
09.02.22	Vis Artena - Carbonia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTLL
- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group G
06.03.22	Aprilia - Latte Dolce	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Atletico Uri - Aprilia	3:1 ✺
20.02.22	Aprilia - Real Monterotondo	1:0 ✺
16.02.22	Aprilia - Gladiator	0:3 ✺
13.02.22	Afragolese - Aprilia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLT

Carbonia - Aprilia