Match Info

Date: 25 May 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Carbonia		Gladiator

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	4.2
	1.6	4.25	4
	1.57	4.26	4.16
	1.55	3.6	4.75
	1.59	4.05	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.27)	3.98 ↑ (3.39)	4.37 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carbonia
56.8%

Draw
22.6%

Gladiator
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

27.1%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carbonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carbonia's performance.

Gladiator has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gladiator might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carbonia than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carbonia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gladiator than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gladiator could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	7.7%	3.8%

Carbonia - Gladiator Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Carbonia will win (votes: 23 - 88.5%). Gladiator will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carbonia: 76.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Carbonia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Carbonia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Carbonia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carbonia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
22.05.22	Aprilia - Carbonia	4:1 ✺
18.05.22	Carbonia - Vis Artena	2:0 ✺
15.05.22	Carbonia - Muravera	1:3 ✺
24.04.22	Real Monterotondo - Carbonia	2:2 ✺
14.04.22	Carbonia - Arzachena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWLTT
- ASD Gladiator 1924
Italian Serie D - Group G
22.05.22	Gladiator - Vis Artena	0:1 ✺
18.05.22	Muravera - Gladiator	1:3 ✺
15.05.22	Gladiator - Arzachena	2:2 ✺
04.05.22	Nuova Florida - Gladiator	1:0 ✺
20.04.22	Cassino - Gladiator	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
23.01.22	Gladiator - Carbonia	1:1
28.02.21	Gladiator - Carbonia	2:4
15.11.20	Carbonia - Gladiator	1:1

Carbonia - Gladiator