Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 15

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday


	Cariñena		Ejea

	1	X	2
	6	3.6	1.49
	6.01	3.8	1.48
	6.01	3.8	1.48
	6.28	3.95	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.08 ↑ (4.32)	3.79 ↑ (3.39)	1.48 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cariñena
14.9%

Draw
23.9%

Ejea
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

26.6%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

27.5%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cariñena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cariñena's form might have worsened.

Ejea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ejea's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cariñena than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cariñena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ejea than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ejea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Ejea is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cariñena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cariñena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cariñena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
16.12.23	Cariñena - Huesca B	2:2 ✺
03.12.23	Cuarte - Cariñena	3:1 ✺
26.11.23	Cariñena - Binéfar	2:1 ✺
19.11.23	Borja - Cariñena	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Cariñena - Calamocha	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TLWLW
- SD Ejea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
17.12.23	Ejea - Cuarte	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Binéfar - Ejea	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Ejea - Borja	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Calamocha - Ejea	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Ejea - Épila	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
26.02.23	Cariñena - Ejea	0:1
29.10.22	Ejea - Cariñena	6:1
Club Friendly
22.08.18	Cariñena - Ejea	0:3

Cariñena - Ejea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide