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Current Win Probability
Cariari Pococí 54%
Draw 24.8%
Uruguay de Coronado 21.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.4%
26.3%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
25.1%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cariari Pococí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cariari Pococí's performance.
Uruguay de Coronado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uruguay de Coronado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cariari Pococí than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cariari Pococí that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay de Coronado than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Uruguay de Coronado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Cariari Pococí - Uruguay de Coronado Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cariari will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 5th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cariari won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Uruguay de Coronado could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Cariari is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Cariari has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:23 (averaging 1.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cariari against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:10 goals (averaging 2.3:1.1 per game).