The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carmelita 42.1%
Draw 27.7%
Uruguay de Coronado 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.3%
26.8%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.1%
25.7%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Uruguay de Coronado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay de Coronado than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Carmelita - Uruguay de Coronado Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Rosales S. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Gonzalez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
47', 3 - 0, Villalobos W. ⚽,
52', 4 - 0, Solera A. ⚽,
74', 5 - 0, Cortes R. ⚽,
82', 6 - 0, Camacho L. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Carmelita holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Carmelita has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:23 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Carmelita against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 18:7 goals (averaging 1.8:0.7 per game).
Watch
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