Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Carina Gubin		Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski

	1	X	2
	2.26	3.41	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 (2.26)	3.41 (3.41)	2.54 (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 12.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carina Gubin
39.2%

Draw
26%

Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski
34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

25.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Carina Gubin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carina Gubin than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 3)

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carina Gubin won 3.

Carina Gubin is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Stilon Gorzów has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Stilon Gorzów may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Carina Gubin has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 10:6 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Carina Gubin against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:6 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Stilon Gorzow	11	4	4	3	19:15	4	16
18	Carina Gubin	11	2	2	7	8:22	-14	8

Last Results with these Odds

Carina Gubin - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 34.86%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carina Gubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.09.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Carina Gubin	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	Carina Gubin - Odra Bytom Odrzański	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Polkowice - Carina Gubin	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Carina Gubin - Barycz Sułów	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Carina Gubin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski
Polish Division 3 - Group III
19.09.26	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - ROW Rybnik	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Miedź Legnica 2 - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Kluczbork	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
31.05.25	Carina Gubin - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:0
09.11.24	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Carina Gubin	0:3
30.03.24	Carina Gubin - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:5
02.09.23	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Carina Gubin	0:1
24.05.23	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Carina Gubin	0:3
22.10.22	Carina Gubin - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1

Upcoming Matches