The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cariri 18.4%
Draw 26.7%
Icasa 54.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
30.2%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
30%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cariri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cariri's form might have worsened.
Icasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Icasa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cariri than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cariri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Icasa than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Icasa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Claudinho (Pen),
27', 1 - 1, Tiaguinho ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Tiaguinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
1st leg.
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cearense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cearense 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Cariri is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Icasa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cariri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Icasa will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Cariri won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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