Match Info

Date: 20 June 2020, Saturday


	Carl Zeiss Jena		Viktoria Köln

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.57
	4.75	4.1	1.62	Watch
	4.3	4.4	1.6
	4.8	4.3	1.57
	4.74	4.89	1.6
	4.8	4.5	1.53
	4.95	4.33	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (4.37)	4.39 ↑ (3.75)	1.58 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carl Zeiss Jena
19.4%

Draw
21.4%

Viktoria Köln
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

24.9%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

20.2%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carl Zeiss Jena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Viktoria Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viktoria Köln's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carl Zeiss Jena than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktoria Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	12.1%	54.5%

Carl Zeiss Jena - Viktoria Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Carl Zeiss Jena will win (votes: 11 - 33.3%). Viktoria Köln will win (votes: 18 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viktoria Köln: 37.5% – 71.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carl Zeiss Jena
German 3 Bundesliga
17.06.20	Hansa Rostock - Carl Zeiss Jena	4:0 ✺
14.06.20	Carl Zeiss Jena - Uerdingen	0:0 ✺
10.06.20	Würzburger Kickers - Carl Zeiss Jena	4:2 ✺
07.06.20	Carl Zeiss Jena - Kaiserslautern	1:2 ✺
03.06.20	Duisburg - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTLLT
- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
16.06.20	Viktoria Köln - 1860 München	2:0 ✺
13.06.20	Magdeburg - Viktoria Köln	2:0 ✺
09.06.20	Viktoria Köln - Meppen	1:3 ✺
06.06.20	Waldhof Mannheim - Viktoria Köln	2:1 ✺
02.06.20	Viktoria Köln - Zwickau	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.19	Viktoria Köln - Carl Zeiss Jena	2:2
German Regionalliga Play Offs
01.06.17	Carl Zeiss Jena - Viktoria Köln	0:1
28.05.17	Viktoria Köln - Carl Zeiss Jena	2:3

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