The best margin for this event is 12.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erzgebirge Aue 35.8%
Draw 25.4%
Carl Zeiss Jena 38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
25.4%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Erzgebirge Aue have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Carl Zeiss Jena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Carl Zeiss Jena aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Erzgebirge Aue - Carl Zeiss Jena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Aue (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Carl Zeiss Jena have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Carl Zeiss Jena could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Aue has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:8 (averaging 2.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aue against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Jena
14
8
2
4
23:12
11
26
7
Aue
14
7
3
4
23:18
5
24
Last Results with these Odds
Erzgebirge Aue - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 35.76%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.