The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carlos A. Mannucci 56.3%
Draw 24%
Pirata 19.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.3%
24.5%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.7%
24.2%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos A. Mannucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Pirata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Carlos A. Mannucci - Pirata Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Valladares G. (G) 5. Aguirre J. 14. Alvarez L. 4. Aparicio K. (C) 31. Caballero E. 10. Munoz J. 11. Nunez J. 30. Portugal B. 22. Rios J. 99. Rodriguez G. 3. Salazar V.
12. Quiroz R. (G) 18. Carhualllanqui J. 13. Carrillo L. 14. Chirinos A. 3. Diez Canseco P. 5. Hoyos H. (C) 2. Ledesma A. 10. Lugo K. 19. Morales M. 26. Rojas J. 17. Tapia D.
Substitutes
70. Cotito A. 27. Fernandez R. 34. Montalva A. 28. Olano J. 6. Ramos G. 19. Solar A. 1. Vargas J. (G) 17. Vivanco P.
8. Carbajal J. 11. Cerutti R. 16. Dominguez A. 24. Larrea F. (G) 21. Lozano T. 6. Navarro J. 15. Ramirez Duarte P. A. 22. Rodriguez A. 32. Suclupe M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Morales M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Carhualllanqui J. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
46', Morales M. ↓, Suclupe M. ↑,
46', Nunez J. ↓, Solar A. ↑,
54', Diez Canseco P. 🟨,
58', Chirinos A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
63', Rodriguez G. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
65', Rios J. 🟨,
68', Rios J. ↓, Vivanco P. ↑,
68', Munoz J. ↓, Chicoma D. ↑,
72', Diez Canseco P. ↓, Ramirez Duarte P. A. ↑,
82', Lugo K. ↓, Carbajal J. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Fernandez R. ⚽,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ))
Mannucci has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pirata is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Pirata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Mannucci is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mannucci won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Including home match between the teams, Mannucci won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.