Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Carmelita		Barrio México

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.7
	2.28	3.15	2.65
	2.24	3.25	2.7
	2.26	3.29	2.9
	2.2	3.5	2.6
	2.28	3.38	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 (2.25)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	2.73 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmelita
39.9%

Draw
27.1%

Barrio México
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

19%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Carmelita have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Barrio México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carmelita that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrio México than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrio México could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carmelita - Barrio México Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.

Recent matches Carmelita is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barrio México is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carmelita could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carmelita won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
14.11.21	Barrio México - Carmelita	3:0 ✺
30.10.21	Marineros - Carmelita	1:2 ✺
27.10.21	Carmelita - Municipal Garabito	1:1 ✺
01.10.21	Carmelita - San José	5:1 ✺
24.09.21	Puntarenas FC - Carmelita	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTWL
- AD Barrio México
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
14.11.21	Barrio México - Carmelita	3:0 ✺
07.11.21	Cariari Pococí - Barrio México	2:2 ✺
30.10.21	Barrio México - Uruguay de Coronado	2:0 ✺
23.10.21	Barrio México - Desamparados	2:0 ✺
15.10.21	Aserrí - Barrio México	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
14.11.21	Barrio México - Carmelita	3:0

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