Match Info

COSTA RICA: LIGA DE ASCENSO - CLAUSURA - ROUND 12

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday


	Marineros		Carmelita

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	6.75
	1.47	4.72	4.43
	1.45	4.79	4.61
	1.33	4.75	6.5
	1.44	4.35	5.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	4.67 ↓ (4.75)	5.62 ↓ (6.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marineros
64.5%

Draw
19.4%

Carmelita
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

19.1%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

18.1%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marineros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Carmelita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marineros than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marineros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Marineros - Carmelita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marineros won 2.

Recent matches Marineros is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carmelita is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carmelita could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marineros is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Marineros won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Marineros won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marineros de Puntarenas
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
02.03.24	Marineros - Quepos	1:1 ✺
26.02.24	Marineros - Cofutpa	2:1 ✺
21.02.24	Sarchi - Marineros	3:1 ✺
17.02.24	Marineros - Jicaral	2:1 ✺
02.02.24	Jacó - Marineros	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLWT
- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
01.03.24	Carmelita - Sarchi	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Jicaral - Carmelita	2:0 ✺
12.02.24	Carmelita - Jacó	4:1 ✺
07.02.24	Carmelita - Santa Cruz PFA	1:1 ✺
01.02.24	Cofutpa - Carmelita	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
25.01.24	Carmelita - Marineros	2:3
22.09.23	Carmelita - Marineros	1:2
09.08.23	Marineros - Carmelita	0:3
31.03.22	Carmelita - Marineros	2:1
20.02.22	Marineros - Carmelita	0:2
30.10.21	Marineros - Carmelita	1:2
11.09.21	Carmelita - Marineros	4:3

Marineros - Carmelita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide