Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Caronnese		Novara

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.4	3.15	1.97
	3.35	3.1	1.97
	3.27	3.02	1.94
	3.56	2.99	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.27)	3.09 ↑ (3.02)	1.99 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caronnese
26.4%

Draw
28.8%

Novara
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

28.7%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

21.8%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caronnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caronnese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caronnese - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Novara will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group A
14.11.21	Chieri - Caronnese	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Caronnese - Lavagnese	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Castellanzese - Caronnese	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
31.10.21	Gozzano - Caronnese	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Caronnese - Saluzzo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTWLT
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
14.11.21	Novara - Casale	4:1 ✺
07.11.21	Unione Sanremo - Novara	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Novara - PDHAE	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
31.10.21	Novara - Vado	5:0 ✺
24.10.21	Sestri Levante - Novara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWT

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