Match Info

Date: 11 October 2020, Sunday


	Carrarese		Piacenza

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	4.5
	1.65	3.5	4.6	Watch
	1.66	3.5	4.5
	1.59	3.45	5.2
	1.66	3.52	5.52
	1.67	3.3	5.5
	1.69	3.54	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)	3.47 ↓ (3.48)	4.95 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
55.3%

Draw
26.2%

Piacenza
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

21.1%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Piacenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Carrarese - Piacenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Carrarese is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Piacenza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carrarese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carrarese is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.10.20	Carrarese - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Pro Sesto - Carrarese	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Venezia - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
27.09.20	Carrarese - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
23.09.20	Carrarese - Ambrosiana	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLTW
- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
07.10.20	Piacenza - Livorno	2:0 ✺
04.10.20	Pontedera - Piacenza	1:0 ✺
27.09.20	Piacenza - Grosseto	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
23.09.20	Piacenza - Teramo	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.09.20	Cittadella - Piacenza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.02.19	Carrarese - Piacenza	0:2
17.10.18	Piacenza - Carrarese	2:1
29.03.18	Carrarese - Piacenza	2:0
12.11.17	Piacenza - Carrarese	1:1
18.03.17	Piacenza - Carrarese	1:0
30.10.16	Carrarese - Piacenza	1:0

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