Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 21

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Carrarese		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.6
	1.72	3.3	5	Watch
	1.76	3.2	5.34
	1.77	3.2	5.34
	1.67	3.2	5
	1.72	3.2	5.06
	1.73	3.25	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	5.01 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
53.2%

Draw
28.5%

Arezzo
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

28.4%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

27.8%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Carrarese - Arezzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 4. Illanes J. 21. Coppolaro M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 6. Cerretelli F. 11. Cicconi M. 5. Della L. S. 8. Palmieri R. 72. Zanon S. 27. Simeri S. 10. Panico G.	1. Trombini L. (G) 2. Montini A. 4. Risaliti G. 13. Chiosa M. 5. Bianchi S. 17. Lazzarini M. 16. Eklu S. M. 19. Iori M. 10. Pattarello E. 7. Guccione F. 28. Gucci N.
Substitutes
39. Belloni N. 82. Capezzi L. 26. Cartano R. 25. Castigliani S. 99. Giannetti N. 3. Imperiale M. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 24. Morosini L. 20. Opoola M. 23. Raimo A. 18. Schiavi N. 12. Tampucci T. (G)	22. Borra D. (G) 21. Castiglia L. 20. Catanese G. 26. Crisafi J. F. 18. Damiani M. 3. Donati F. 12. Ermini J. (G) 24. Foglia F. 11. Gaddini M. 25. Masetti L. 14. Renzi A. 29. Sebastiani C. 8. Settembrini A.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Carrarese is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
06.01.24	Fermana - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
22.12.23	Pontedera - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Carrarese - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Rimini - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Carrarese - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWLT
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
06.01.24	Arezzo - Rimini	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Sestri Levante - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
18.12.23	Arezzo - Perugia	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Sassari Torres - Arezzo	3:2 ✺
02.12.23	Arezzo - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.09.23	Arezzo - Carrarese	1:3
Club Friendly
13.08.22	Carrarese - Arezzo	3:1
Italian Serie C Group A
17.11.19	Carrarese - Arezzo	2:2
16.03.19	Carrarese - Arezzo	3:0
19.11.18	Arezzo - Carrarese	2:2
05.05.18	Carrarese - Arezzo	0:1
17.12.17	Arezzo - Carrarese	1:1

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