Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cartagena B		Santomera

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.20	2.00
	3.05	3.40	2.13
	3.04	3.44	2.14	Watch
	3.00	3.35	2.10
	3.10	3.30	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (3.01)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	2.09 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena B
29.7%

Draw
27%

Santomera
43.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

26.9%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.5%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Santomera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 1st in the Promotion).

In recent outings, Cartagena B has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Santomera is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Santomera may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Santomera holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Cartagena B has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:7 (averaging 3.5:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cartagena B against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:7 goals (averaging 3.5:3.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santomera	7	6	1	0	18:6	12	19
14	FC Cartagena SAD B	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Santomera - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.26%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartagena B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.10.26	Cartagena B - Algar	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Los Garres - Cartagena B	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Cartagena B - UCAM Murcia B	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Minerva - Cartagena B	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Cartagena B - Unión Molinense	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTTL
- Santomera CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
10.10.26	Santomera - Deportivo Marítimo	3:0 ✺
04.10.26	Pulpileño - Santomera	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Santomera - Algar	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Los Garres - Santomera	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Santomera - UCAM Murcia B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.01.26	Cartagena B - Santomera	4:4
15.09.24	Cartagena B - Santomera	3:3

Cartagena B - Santomera