Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 19

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)


	Cartagena B		Sevilla B

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.44
	5.5	4.2	1.52
	6.53	4.11	1.48
	6.59	4.05	1.47
	6.4	4	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↑ (5.1)	4.07 ↑ (3.36)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena B
14.9%

Draw
22.6%

Sevilla B
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

27.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

26.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Sevilla B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sevilla B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sevilla B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cartagena B - Sevilla B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Cartagena B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sevilla B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Sevilla B have a series of home games.

In this match Sevilla B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cartagena B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartagena B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.01.24	San Roque de Lepe - Cartagena B	4:1 ✺
07.01.24	Racing Cartagena MM - Cartagena B	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Cartagena B - Linense	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Cadiz CF B - Cartagena B	2:2 ✺
03.12.23	Cartagena B - Estepona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LTWTL
- Sevilla B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.01.24	Sevilla B - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Sevilla B - El Palo	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Sevilla B - Vélez	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Sevilla B - Marbella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.09.23	Sevilla B - Cartagena B	3:0
26.03.23	Sevilla B - Cartagena B	1:1
05.11.22	Cartagena B - Sevilla B	1:0

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