Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Cartagena B		Estepona

	1	X	2
	5	3.25	1.65
	5.5	3.5	1.63	Watch
	5.69	3.35	1.73
	5.69	3.34	1.68
	5.4	3.3	1.63
	5.2	3.3	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.41 ↑ (4.48)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	1.66 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena B
17%

Draw
27.6%

Estepona
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

29%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

28.7%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-4%)

Cartagena B - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Cartagena B is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Estepona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cartagena B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Estepona is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartagena B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.11.23	Manchego - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Cartagena B - Águilas	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Yeclano Deportivo - Cartagena B	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Cartagena B - Betis B	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	La Unión - Cartagena B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWL
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.11.23	Estepona - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	El Palo - Estepona	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Estepona - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Vélez - Estepona	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Estepona - Sevilla B	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWTL

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