Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 3

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)


	Cartagena B		Vélez

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3.15	2.71
	2.57	3.13	2.65
	2.5	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.09)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.64 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena B
35.7%

Draw
29.3%

Vélez
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartagena B's form might have worsened.

Vélez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cartagena B - Vélez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Cartagena B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vélez in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Cartagena B have a series of home games.

Cartagena B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cartagena B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartagena B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.09.23	Sevilla B - Cartagena B	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Cartagena B - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.08.23	Cartagena B - Pulpileño	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Cartagena B - Minera	1:0 ✺
16.08.23	Cartagena B - Hércules	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWWL
- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.09.23	Vélez - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	El Palo - Vélez	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.08.23	Vélez - Estepona	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Algeciras - Vélez	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Vélez - El Palo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTWW?

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.04.23	Vélez - Cartagena B	1:0
27.11.22	Cartagena B - Vélez	2:1

Cartagena B - Vélez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide