The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cartes 19.3%
Draw 27.1%
Cayón 53.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.5%
27%
53.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.4%
26.8%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
The chances for Cayón have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartes than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Cartes - Cayón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).
Cartes is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Cayón has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Cayón is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cartes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
Including home match between the teams, Cartes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.