Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Cayón		Guarnizo

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.75	5.15
	1.83	3.23	4.41	Watch
	1.51	3.65	6.04
	1.56	3.75	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.56)	3.6 ↓ (3.75)	5.2 (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cayón
57%

Draw
25.4%

Guarnizo
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

24.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

22.7%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cayón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Cayón - Guarnizo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,
90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 3.

Cayón has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guarnizo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guarnizo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cayón is a strong favorite.

We predict that Cayón will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cayón won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cayón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
16.11.25	Colindres - Cayón	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Cayón - Selaya	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Laredo - Cayón	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Cayón - Bezana	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Torina - Cayón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWT
- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
16.11.25	Guarnizo - Montañas del Pas	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Guarnizo - Vimenor	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Tropezón - Guarnizo	0:3 ✺
12.10.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Guarnizo	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Guarnizo - Revilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.03.25	Cayón - Guarnizo	1:3
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Guarnizo - Cayón	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
11.02.23	Guarnizo - Cayón	0:1
08.10.22	Cayón - Guarnizo	4:2
23.02.20	Cayón - Guarnizo	2:0
18.05.19	Cayón - Guarnizo	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.02.18	Cayón - Guarnizo	0:0

Cayón - Guarnizo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide