Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 18

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Cartes		Laredo

	1	X	2
	2.95	3	2.2
	3.08	2.89	2.23
	3.14	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (4.28)	3 ↓ (3.4)	2.21 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartes
29.4%

Draw
30%

Laredo
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

26.8%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

26.5%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cartes's performance.

Laredo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Laredo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartes than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laredo than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laredo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).

Cartes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Laredo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cartes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Cartes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
20.01.24	Tropezón - Cartes	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Cartes - Solares-Medio Cudeyo	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Escobedo - Cartes	4:1 ✺
16.12.23	Cartes - Vimenor	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Torina - Cartes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTL
- CD Laredo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
21.01.24	Revilla - Laredo	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Laredo - Tropezón	4:1 ✺
07.01.24	Laredo - Bezana	2:2 ✺
17.12.23	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Laredo	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Laredo - Naval Reinosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
10.09.23	Laredo - Cartes	3:1
12.10.19	Laredo - Cartes	2:0

Cartes - Laredo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide