Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 31

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Cartusia Kartuzy		Gedania Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	3.5
	1.91	3.8	3.2
	2.25	3.9	2.82
	2.06	4.13	2.78	Watch
	1.93	3.74	3.54	Watch
	1.91	3.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.7)	3.88 ↓ (4.1)	3.17 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartusia Kartuzy
47%

Draw
23.8%

Gedania Gdańsk
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

22.3%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartusia Kartuzy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartusia Kartuzy's form might have worsened.

Gedania Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gedania Gdańsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartusia Kartuzy than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartusia Kartuzy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gedania Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gedania Gdańsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cartusia Kartuzy - Gedania Gdańsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Nowicki B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, ⚽,
82', 3 - 0, Reclaw A. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartusia Kartuzy won 3.

Recent form of Cartusia Kartuzy has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Gedania has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cartusia Kartuzy is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cartusia Kartuzy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cartusia Kartuzy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartusia Kartuzy
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.05.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Flota Świnoujście	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLTWL
- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.05.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Gedania Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gedania Gdańsk	0:4 ✺
03.05.25	Gedania Gdańsk - Unia Swarzędz	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Sokół Kleczew - Gedania Gdańsk	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Gedania Gdańsk - Gryf Słupsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.10.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:2
Club Friendly
17.07.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.04.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Gedania Gdańsk	1:2
Club Friendly
09.02.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:1
Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.09.23	Gedania Gdańsk - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:4
04.06.23	Gedania Gdańsk - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:4
05.11.22	Cartusia Kartuzy - Gedania Gdańsk	1:2

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