Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 6

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska		Gedania Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.60	6.00
	1.27	5.00	7.00
	1.38	4.33	5.20
	1.41	4.63	5.92	Watch
	1.35	4.25	5.70
	1.46	4.61	5.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.26)	4.57 ↓ (5.1)	5.91 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
65.2%

Draw
19.6%

Gedania Gdańsk
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

17.5%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Środa Wielkopolska's form might have worsened.

Gedania Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gedania Gdańsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Niewiadomski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, ⚽,
71', 4 - 1, ⚽,
81', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 3.

Środa Wielkopolska has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gedania has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Gedania has had a series of home games.

In this match, Środa Wielkopolska is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Środa Wielkopolska won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sroda	11	8	3	0	33:16	17	27
14	Gedania Gdansk	11	2	5	4	23:24	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.08.26	Lipno Stęszew - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	4:1 ✺
14.08.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:4 ✺
07.08.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Września	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.08.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Lech Poznań 2	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Gedania Gdańsk	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Noteć Czarnków	5:3 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Czarni Pruszcz Gdański	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.05.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gedania Gdańsk	0:4
12.10.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:2
25.11.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gedania Gdańsk	2:1
05.08.23	Gedania Gdańsk - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3
09.06.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gedania Gdańsk	4:2
12.11.22	Gedania Gdańsk - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:3

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