Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Casalarreina		Comillas

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.8
	1.61	3.7	4.7
	1.6	4.16	4.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.37)	3.89 ↓ (4.33)	4.81 ↓ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casalarreina
57.5%

Draw
23.5%

Comillas
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.8%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

19.8%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casalarreina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casalarreina's form might have worsened.

Comillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comillas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casalarreina than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casalarreina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comillas than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comillas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Casalarreina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Comillas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Casalarreina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Casalarreina is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Casalarreina won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Casalarreina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casalarreina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
10.02.24	Berceo - Casalarreina	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	La Calzada - Casalarreina	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Casalarreina - River Ebro	2:2 ✺
20.01.24	Casalarreina - Calahorra B	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	Tedeón - Casalarreina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWTLW
- Comillas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
10.02.24	Comillas - River Ebro	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Calahorra B - Comillas	3:2 ✺
28.01.24	Comillas - Tedeón	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Comillas - Peña Balsamaiso	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Vianés - Comillas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.10.23	Comillas - Casalarreina	1:3
16.04.23	Casalarreina - Comillas	6:2
17.12.22	Comillas - Casalarreina	0:2
22.12.19	Comillas - Casalarreina	0:1

Casalarreina - Comillas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide