Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	La Calzada		Casalarreina

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.6	5.5
	1.39	4.7	6
	1.76	4.92	2.76
	1.78	5.12	3.01
	2.03	4.65	2.56
	1.39	4.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.41)	4.78 ↓ (4.83)	4.31 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Calzada
58.2%

Draw
19.8%

Casalarreina
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Calzada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Calzada's form might have worsened.

Casalarreina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casalarreina's recent form is better than expected.

La Calzada - Casalarreina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Lopez S. ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, Chuchi ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Calzada won 3.

Casalarreina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, La Calzada is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, La Calzada won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, La Calzada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDFC La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
04.05.25	Varea - La Calzada	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Arnedo - La Calzada	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Yagüe - La Calzada	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	La Calzada - Haro Deportivo	1:3 ✺
02.03.25	La Calzada - Oyonesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTLW
- Casalarreina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
04.05.25	Casalarreina - Autol	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Casalarreina - River Ebro	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Casalarreina - Peña Balsamaiso	2:3 ✺
30.03.25	Berceo - Casalarreina	2:3 ✺
23.03.25	Oyonesa - Casalarreina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
12.01.25	Casalarreina - La Calzada	0:4
04.02.24	La Calzada - Casalarreina	1:2
16.09.23	Casalarreina - La Calzada	0:0
12.03.23	La Calzada - Casalarreina	2:0
06.11.22	Casalarreina - La Calzada	1:2
24.04.22	La Calzada - Casalarreina	0:1
18.12.21	Casalarreina - La Calzada	1:3

La Calzada - Casalarreina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide