The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casatese 54.9%
Draw 26.3%
Scanzorosciate 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
26.9%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
26.1%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casatese's performance.
Scanzorosciate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scanzorosciate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casatese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scanzorosciate than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scanzorosciate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Casatese - Scanzorosciate Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Belloli F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
Casatese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Scanzorosciate has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Casatese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Casatese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Casatese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.