The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pavia 26.5%
Draw 26.4%
Casatese 47.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
26.5%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
25.5%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pavia's form might have worsened.
Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casatese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Pavia - Casatese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
20', 1 - 0, Quaggio A. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Carannante G. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Gningue M. ⚽,
43', 1 - 3, Gningue M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 2 - 3, Cecchi E. ⚽,
79', 3 - 3, Poesio C. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
Recent performances by Pavia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Casatese is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Casatese will hold a modest advantage in this match.
Watch
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