Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cascina Valdera		UniPomezia

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Cascina Valdera
46.3%

Draw
27.8%

UniPomezia
25.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

20.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cascina Valdera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cascina Valdera's performance.

UniPomezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UniPomezia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cascina Valdera than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cascina Valdera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UniPomezia than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UniPomezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Cascina Valdera has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches UniPomezia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cascina Valdera will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cascina Valdera ASD
Italian Serie D - Group E
28.11.21	Tiferno Lerchi - Cascina Valdera	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	Cascina Valdera - Lornano Badesse	0:1 ✺
14.11.21	San Donato Tavarnelle - Cascina Valdera	3:1 ✺
07.11.21	Cascina Valdera - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:2 ✺
31.10.21	Arezzo - Cascina Valdera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- ASD UniPomezia
Italian Serie D - Group E
28.11.21	UniPomezia - Trestina	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	UniPomezia - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:2 ✺
14.11.21	Lornano Badesse - UniPomezia	4:2 ✺
07.11.21	UniPomezia - Scandicci	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Cannara - UniPomezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWLTT

Cascina Valdera - UniPomezia