Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 29Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday
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Casetas |
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Almudévar |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.98 |
2.88 |
2.32 |
|
 |
2.82 |
3.05 |
2.49 |
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 |
2.86 |
3.02 |
2.46 |
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3 |
2.88 |
2.3 |
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 |
3.12 |
3.06 |
2.21 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↓
(3.06) |
2.98 ↓
(3) |
2.36 ↑
(2.26) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Casetas
30.8% | Draw
30.6% | Almudévar
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casetas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Almudévar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casetas than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almudévar than the current prediction. (+3.4%)Casetas - Almudévar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 57', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 58', 2 - 1, Comeras J. ⚽,
- 70', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).Casetas is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Almudévar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Almudévar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Almudévar could have a small edge in this match. We predict that Almudévar will win today's game, with odds of 2.26.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Casetas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).Including home match between the teams, Casetas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Almudevar | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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