The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caspe 25.4%
Draw 31.1%
Calamocha 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
32.1%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
32.2%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caspe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Calamocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caspe than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Caspe - Calamocha Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caspe won 3.
In recent matches, Caspe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Calamocha is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Calamocha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Caspe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Caspe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Caspe
5
2
2
1
9:6
3
8
Last Results with these Odds
Caspe - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 28.39%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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