Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Caspe		Ebro

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.2	1.6
	5.4	2.85	1.78
	6.63	3.22	1.6	Watch
	5.75	2.93	1.81
	5.4	2.85	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.74 ↑ (5.58)	3.01 ↓ (3.6)	1.71 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caspe
16%

Draw
30.5%

Ebro
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

25.2%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

24.6%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caspe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caspe than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ebro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caspe - Ebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Escolar Sergio ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Tapia R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Caspe is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ebro is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caspe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ebro is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Caspe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Caspe
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
09.03.25	Cuarte - Caspe	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Caspe - Belchite	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Épila - Caspe	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Caspe - Tamarite	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Fuentes - Caspe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWLTW
- CD Ebro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
08.03.25	La Almunia - Ebro	0:3 ✺
01.03.25	Ebro - Cuarte	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Belchite - Ebro	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Ebro - Épila	4:1 ✺
01.02.25	Ebro - Fuentes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
10.11.24	Ebro - Caspe	1:0
13.01.24	Ebro - Caspe	1:0

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