Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Fuentes		Caspe

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2
	3.4	3.2	2.04
	3.26	3.31	2.02
	3.37	3.37	2.02
	3.41	3.2	2.03
	3.4	3.2	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.39)	3.23 ↑ (3.13)	2.03 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuentes
27.1%

Draw
28.1%

Caspe
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

28.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

26.2%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuentes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuentes's form might have worsened.

Caspe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caspe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuentes than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuentes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caspe than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caspe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fuentes - Caspe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Rotellar F. ⚽,
44', Porroche M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, Garcia Marin J. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Caspe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Caspe have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fuentes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Fuentes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fuentes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
01.02.25	Ebro - Fuentes	4:1 ✺
26.01.25	Fuentes - Cuarte	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Belchite - Fuentes	4:0 ✺
12.01.25	Épila - Fuentes	1:0 ✺
04.01.25	Fuentes - Tamarite	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLLL
- CD Caspe
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
02.02.25	Caspe - Utrillas	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Caspe - Atlético Monzón	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Caspe - Brea	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Almudévar - Caspe	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Caspe - Andorra CF	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
14.04.24	Caspe - Fuentes	2:2
26.11.23	Fuentes - Caspe	1:1

Fuentes - Caspe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide