Match Info
Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Castanhal |
|
Independente |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.7 |
3.4 |
4.4 |
|
 |
1.69 |
3.35 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.53 |
5.08 |
|
 |
1.7 |
3.58 |
4.55 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(2.27) |
3.47 ↑
(3.24) |
4.66 ↑
(2.96) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castanhal
53.9% | Draw
26.5% | Independente
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castanhal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castanhal's performance.Independente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (-25.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castanhal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independente than the current prediction. (+24.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
1st leg. Castanhal is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Independente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). In this match Castanhal is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Castanhal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3. Including matches at home between the teams Castanhal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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